In the 2020 election, exit polls estimated that Trump received 12% of the Black vote, while the Pew Research Center estimated it at 8%. Despite these figures, no significant rise in Republican support from Black Americans has been observed in presidential and midterm elections since 2016.
Recent polls, however, such as those from Quinnipiac, Economist-YouGov, New York Times/Siena, and Marquette University Law School, show Trump with at least 20% support among Black adults. A new Fox News survey even suggests he has 26% support. If these numbers hold true, Trump would achieve the highest share of the Black vote for any Republican presidential candidate since Richard Nixon in 1960.
