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Fact-checking President Trump’s address to a joint session of Congress

Black Politics Now by Black Politics Now
March 5, 2025
in Research
0
“We’ll forge a society that is color-blind and merit-based,” President Trump’s Inauguration Address

President-elect Donald Trump arrives at the 60th Presidential Inauguration in the Rotunda of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Monday, Jan. 20, 2025. (Kenny Holston/The New York Times via AP, Pool)

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President Donald Trump recapped six weeks of efforts to cut the federal workforce, reorganize the economy, and reorient foreign policy in his first address to a joint session of Congress.

The March 4 speech was long by historical standards — about an hour and 40 minutes —

Here’s a rundown of fact-checked claims:

Social Security 

Social Security databases show “3.5 million people from ages 140 to 149 and money is being paid to many of them.”

False

Trump recited numbers from a chart Elon Musk shared on X that showed millions of people in a Social Security database over the age of 100, including about 3.5 million in the 140 to 149 age bracket and one in the 360 to 369 age bracket.

The acting Social Security commissioner said that people older than 100 who do not have a date of death associated with their Social Security record “are not necessarily receiving benefits.” Recent Social Security Administration data shows that about 89,000 people ages 99 and older receive Social Security payments.

Government databases may classify someone as 150 years old for reasons peculiar to the complex Social Security database or because of missing data, but that doesn’t mean that millions of payments are delivered fraudulently to people with implausible ages. 

Government Spending

“We found hundreds of billions of dollars of fraud.”

False

Trump created the Department of Government Efficiency by executive order on his first day in office. 

As of March 4, the DOGE website showed $105 billion in savings. But its “wall of receipts,” where it claims to track savings generated from DOGE’s cuts, showed less than $20 billion. That “wall of receipts” has been riddled with errors.

The White House has singled out federally funded projects it disagrees with ideologically, such as those about diversity, equity and inclusion, or climate change. But that doesn’t prove fraud, which is determined by courts and requires a crime and intent to deceive.

The hunt for fraud is not new. For decades, inspectors general have searched for fraud in government agencies with some investigations leading to prosecutions. The Government Accountability Office last year estimated that fraud might cost the federal government $233 billion to $521 billion a year, citing 2018 to 2022 data.

“$1.9 billion (went) to recently created decarbonization of homes committee,” which was “headed up” by Stacey Abrams. 

False

Trump listed several federal spending items he characterized as examples of “appalling waste.” His list included a mention of “$1.9 billion to recently created decarbonization of homes committee, headed up — and we know she’s involved, just at the last minute, the money was passed over — by a woman named Stacey Abrams. Have you ever heard of her?”

There’s no evidence Abrams, the two-time Democratic candidate for Georgia governor, directly received any grant money or engaged in illegal behavior.

Trump’s claim appears to refer to a $2 billion Environmental Protection Agency grant awarded to a coalition of five clean energy groups called Power Forward Communities. That coalition included Rewiring America, where Abrams, an attorney, was senior legal counsel from March 2023 until 2024. The grant, which the EPA awarded under then-President Joe Biden, will fund energy-efficient housing projects around the country. 

Immigration

“Over the past four years, 21 million people poured into the United States, many of them were murderers, human traffickers, gang members and other criminals from the streets of dangerous cities, all throughout the world.”

False

Immigration officials encountered immigrants illegally crossing the U.S. border around 10.4 million times from February 2021, Biden’s first full month in office to January 2025, his last. 

When accounting for Congressional Republicans’ September 2024 “got aways” estimate  — people who border officials don’t stop — the number rises to about 12.4 million. 

But encounters aren’t the same as admissions. Encounters represent events, so one person who tries to cross the border twice counts as two encounters. Also, not everyone encountered is let into the country. The Department of Homeland Security estimated that about 4.5 million encounters led to expulsions or removals from February 2021 through November 2024.

“Illegal border crossings last month were by far the lowest ever recorded, ever.” 

Half True.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection has not published official February data. Trump said on March 1 that in February, “there were only 8,326 apprehensions” by Border Patrol agents.

Monthly data has been collected only since 2000. The number Trump cited is the lowest number of monthly illegal crossings between ports of entry since Border Patrol began reporting monthly data. Officials recorded 11,000 encounters in April 2020, the previous low, amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Trump’s first term. 

Before 2000, data was annual. We took that annual data and divided it by 12 to find an average monthly figure. Based on those calculations, average monthly apprehensions were below 8,000 from 1960 to 1968, according to federal data. 

Trump’s hard-on-immigration approach has likely played a role in decreasing illegal immigration, but it has been dropping since March 2024, during Biden’s administration. 

Economy

Through tariffs, “we will take in trillions and trillions of dollars that create jobs like we have never seen before. I did it with China, and I did it with others.”

Part of Trump’s claim is predictive, but the effects of his first-term round of tariffs were not as positive as he said.

In 2018, Trump levied 25% tariffs on steel and 10% tariffs on aluminum, although some countries, including major trading partners Canada and Mexico, were fully or partially exempted. Under Biden, the U.S. negotiated with Europe and Japan to lift those tariffs, but tariffs on other countries, notably China, remained.

Trump also authorized tariffs on billions of dollars of Chinese products, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs of up to 25% on U.S. exports to China. Also, Trump imposed up to 30% tariffs on solar panels and a 20% tariff on washing machines.

We examined more than a dozen academic and think-tank studies on the effect of Trump’s first-term tariffs. Some found gains for domestic industries that had foreign competitors hit with tariffs, but numerous analyses found that, on balance, tariffs’ negative effects on the economy and consumer costs were bigger. Even when certain companies or industries benefited, studies concluded that tariffs are an inefficient way to deliver gains to domestic producers.

Independent estimates of prospective tariff revenue are modest. The center-right Tax Foundation estimated that the first year of tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico, and other countries would bring in $140 billion, which would not make much of a dent in the $1 trillion deficit.

International relations and foreign policy

“We’ve spent perhaps $350 billion, like taking candy from a baby” on Ukraine.

False.

The amount the U.S. has spent on Ukraine’s war with Russia varies depending on what’s being counted, but most estimates are in the $175 billion to $185 billion range, Mark Cancian, a senior defense and security adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, previously told PolitiFact.

Ukraine Oversight, the website of the special inspector general for Operation Atlantic Resolve, which the U.S. government created in 2014 to coordinate its military aid to Ukraine, said that as of Sept. 30, 2024, the U.S. had spent $183 billion to help Ukraine. 

The European Union has given roughly $145 billion in financial, military, humanitarian, and refugee assistance.

Trump cites Panama and Greenland, two issues he didn’t raise on the campaign trail

Raising an expansionist theme he’s articulated in recent weeks, Trump said, “My administration will be reclaiming the Panama Canal” and said he had “a message tonight for the incredible people of Greenland: We strongly support your right to determine your own future, and if you choose, we welcome you into the United States of America.”

These riffs, combined with repeated suggestions that he’d like Canada to become the 51st state and his vision for a “Trump Gaza,” may or may not happen. But unlike many other things he’s done so far in office, a “Manifest Destiny” policy was not something he telegraphed to voters.

Trump had very little to say about foreign policy in the 75 campaign promises we’re tracking on the MAGA-Meter. Nor did the Trump-aligned Project 2025 dwell on these, beyond a more limited call to “enhance economic ties between the U.S. and Greenland, including through the establishment of a diplomatic presence.”

To the contrary, Trump has often bragged (not always accurately) about how, during his first term, he presided over peace and didn’t start any wars.

Mexico and Canada have “allowed fentanyl to come into our country at levels never seen before, killing hundreds of thousands of our citizens.”

Mostly False.

There’s a kernel of truth because most illicit fentanyl in the U.S. comes from Mexico and is made with chemicals from Chinese labs. It enters the U.S. mainly through the southern border at official ports of entry, and it’s smuggled in mostly by U.S. citizens.

But Trump wrongly characterizes what is happening at the U.S. border with Canada.  

In fiscal year 2024, border officials seized nearly 22,000 pounds of fentanyl across U.S. borders. Less than 1% of that fentanyl, 43 pounds, was seized at the U.S.-Canadian border. In January 2025, border officials seized 1,000 pounds, and less than half a pound was seized at the northern border.

And he exaggerates the number of fentanyl overdose deaths, which have been dropping since 2023, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

More than 53,000 people died of a synthetic opioid overdose in the 12-month period starting in October 2023 and ending in September 2024, the latest available data. That’s a drop from more than 77,000 from October 2022 to September 2023. 

The Paris accord was “costing us trillions of dollars.” 

False.

The climate agreement wasn’t costing the U.S. trillions of dollars. It hypothetically could.

The Trump administration defended the decision to withdraw from the Obama-era climate agreement, in part, based on a consultant’s projections about the economic effects of restricting fossil fuel emissions.

NERA Economic Consulting said these changes would result in higher production costs, and a higher production cost would translate into the closure of uncompetitive manufacturing businesses. Those closures, in turn, would mean fewer manufacturing jobs. The job loss would result in a corresponding decline in gross domestic product, with a loss of $250 billion by 2025 that would accelerate to $3 trillion by 2040.

However, the study said that the long-term projections did not factor in all of the offsetting job gains and GDP growth associated with a clean tech transition.

Polling

“Now, for the first time in modern history, more Americans believe that our country is headed in the right direction than the wrong direction.”

Mostly False.

That’s cherry-picking the results of two polls conducted since Trump took office on Jan. 20. Another 17 polls during that period describe Americans having strong “wrong track” sentiments.

Source: PolitiFact

Tags: Fact-checking TrumpJoint session of CongressTrump's address to joint session of Congress
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