Kamala Harris is experiencing notably lower support among Black voters compared to Joe Biden’s performance in the 2020 presidential election, according to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll.
The survey indicates that 78 percent of Black voters intend to vote for Harris in November, while 15 percent support Republican nominee Donald Trump. Although Harris’s backing has increased from 74 percent of Black voters who planned to support Biden before he exited the race in July, it is significantly lower than the 90 percent he garnered when defeating Trump in 2020. If elected, Kamala Harris would make history as the first Black woman to occupy the White House and only the second Black individual overall.
Recent analyses reveal that the 2024 presidential race is highly competitive, with the election analysis website FiveThirtyEight assigning Harris a 54 percent chance of winning, compared to 47 percent for Trump. Additional surveys suggest that Harris is struggling to replicate Biden’s 2020 appeal among non-white voters; a Newsweek analysis indicates she has the backing of 56 percent of Hispanic voters, a slight decrease from Biden’s 59 percent in the previous election.