Exit polls reveal significant shifts among Black and Latino voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. While Trump did not secure a majority of these groups nationally, he improved his performance with both compared to 2020. In Michigan, for instance, Trump gained 11% of the Black vote and 58% of the Latino vote, as per Washington Post exit polls. In contrast, in 2020, he captured only 7% of the Black vote and 44% of the Latino vote.
Pennsylvania, the Blue Wall’s largest state by electoral college votes, saw similar changes. Washington Post exit polls indicate that only 27% of Latinos in Pennsylvania voted for Trump in 2020, yet by 2024, that number rose to 42%. The shift among Black voters in Pennsylvania was less pronounced, with Trump gaining about 3%.